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The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Italy's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the third quarter was 6.1%, and the previous value was 6.80%.Foreign media: The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British "Daily Telegraph" reported on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. The report quoted local media as saying that last week, the police carried out raids in various parts of Italy, arrested 12 people suspected of participating in the far-right organization, and seized a batch of knives, military clothing and propaganda materials. The organization originally called itself "Wolf Division" and later renamed it "New Dawn Division". The police said that some suspects arrested called meloni a "fascist who persecuted fascists" and had planned to assassinate her since 2023. (Global Times)

In 2023, the trade volume between the mainland and Macao increased by 4.3 times compared with that before the reunification. At the regular press conference held by the Ministry of Commerce today (12th), spokesman He Yadong introduced that by signing CEPA and its series of agreements, the mainland has fully liberalized its trade in goods and basically liberalized its trade in services. According to statistics, in 2023, the trade volume between the mainland and Macao was 3.84 billion US dollars, an increase of 4.3 times compared with that before the reunification. By October 2024, the mainland had absorbed a total of 23.93 billion US dollars of direct investment from Macao, and the mainland had invested 14.19 billion US dollars in Macao.European Commission President: Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media that Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area.The Polish minister said that Poland hopes that more countries will participate in Baltic policing, the EU must spend at least 100 billion euros on national defense, and the conditions for sending Polish MIG -29 fighters to Ukraine have not been met.

Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time for financial institutions to usher in development opportunities. "The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time." Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that in the past two years, the personal pension system has achieved remarkable results in general, with a rapid increase in the number of accounts opened and a rapid enrichment of financial products. The data shows that at the end of June 2024, the number of individual pension accounts opened exceeded 60 million. "The implementation of the personal pension system in the pioneering urban areas has enabled the residents to have a more intuitive understanding of the personal pension system. At the same time, it has accumulated rich experience for government departments and financial departments to improve the personal pension system and optimize personal pension financial services. " Yan Feipeng said. (SSE)Qianjin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: The subsidiary company obtained the dapoxetine hydrochloride Pharmaceutical Registration Certificate, and Qianjin Pharmaceutical announced that Qianjin Xiangjiang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. received the dapoxetine hydrochloride Pharmaceutical Registration Certificate approved and issued by National Medical Products Administration. The medicine is suitable for the treatment of male premature ejaculation patients aged 18 to 64.